Fuels for Transportation

There is a need to reduce the amount of fossil energy used for transport, both because of the easily available fossil fuel is becoming sparser and because of climate concerns. In this article, the concept of “peak oil” is briefly presented. Second, a practical approach to reduction of fossil fuel use for transport elaborated by two British commissions is presented. A key feature is the introduction of electric cars. This raises the third issue covered in this article: namely, how battery technology is going to meet the increasing needs posed by the transport sector.     

The effects of congestions tax on air quality and health

The “Stockholm Trial” involved a road pricing system to improve the air quality and reduce traffic congestion. The test period of the trial was January 3–July 31, 2006. Vehicles travelling into and out of the charge cordon were charged for every passage during weekdays. The amount due varied during the day and was highest during rush hours (20 SEK = 2.2 EUR, maximum 60 SEK per day). Based on measured and modelled changes in road traffic it was estimated that this system resulted in a 15% reduction in total road use within the charged cordon. Total traffic emissions in this area of NO_x and PM10 fell by 8.5% and 13%, respectively. Air quality dispersion modelling was applied to assess the effect of the emission reductions on ambient concentrations and population exposure. For the situations with and without the trial, meteorological conditions and other emissions than from road traffic were kept the same. The calculations show that, with a permanent congestion tax system like the Stockholm Trial, the annual average NO_x concentrations would be lower by up to 12% along the most densely trafficked streets. PM10 concentrations would be up to 7% lower. The limit values for both PM10 and NO₂ would still be exceeded along the most densely trafficked streets. The total population exposure of NO_x in Greater Stockholm (35 × 35 km with 1.44 million people) is estimated to decrease with a rather modest 0.23 μg m^?3. However, based on a long-term epidemiological study, that found an increased mortality risk of 8% per 10 μg m^?3 NO_x, it is estimated that 27 premature deaths would be avoided every year. According to life-table analysis this would correspond to 206 years of life gained over 10 years per 100 000 people following the trial if the effects on exposures would persist. The effect on mortality is attributed to road traffic emissions (likely vehicle exhaust particles); NO_x is merely regarded as an indicator of traffic exposure. This is only the tip of the ice-berg since reductions are expected in both respiratory and cardiovascular morbidity. This study demonstrates the importance of not only assessing the effects on air quality limit values, but also to make quantitative estimates of health impacts, in order to justify actions to reduce air pollution.     

The health of the Oceans and the need for its monitoring

Information contained in the recent Review of the Health of the Oceans carried out by the UN Joint Group of Experts on Scientific Aspects of Marine Pollution (GESAMP) is used in formulating monitoring requirements together with different aims of monitoring defined within the framework of the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES).The development is largely based on the concept of an interfaceflux model, which defines zones of interaction between oceanic processes and human activities. This is supplemented by consideration of biogeochemical cycles which describe the cycling of substances and may help elucidate specially important processes and fluxes. A definition of specific monitoring needs is obtained. Consideration is given separately to a series of waste or contaminant categories: sewage, organochlorines, petroleum, metals and radionuclides. Implications in relation to the design of an integrated monitoring scheme include: the need to take into account interactions between land, sea, and atmosphere; the desirability to combine monitoring type observations with scientific studies, e.g. for the determination of fluxes; the necessity to take into account the frequencey of occurrence and rate of natural processes.This note is to a large extent based on the first GESAMP Review of the Health of the Oceans, with my own interpretation in some cases, and with additional input from other sources. An attempt has been made to bring out information from the Review relevant in relation to monitoring considerations.     

Nonthermal GSM RF and ELF EMF effects upon rat BBB permeability

Since the late 1980s, our group has examined the effects of radiofrequency electromagnetic fields (RF-EMF), including pulse-modulated waves of the type emitted by mobile phones, upon the blood?Cbrain barrier. In more than 2,000 rats, we have repeatedly demonstrated a passage of the rats?? own albumin from the blood through the brain capillaries into the surrounding brain parenchyma at SAR values down to 0.1mW/kg. In most of these experiments, the animals were exposed in TEM-cells, ventilated by an external electrical fan at 50 Hz. In the present study, we examined whether the extremely low frequency (ELF) magnetic fields from the fan (50 Hz, 0.3?C1.5 ??T) might add to the RF effect. Sixty-four rats were divided into 4 groups: RF only, ELF only and RF + ELF exposure plus a sham group. The GSM-900 MHz RF exposure was at the very low, nonthermal, average whole-body SAR level 0.4 mW/kg. Demonstration of the normally occurring albumin extravasation in the basal hypothalamus is our inbuilt control proving that the staining is reliable. Two full series of staining of the whole material gave negative results for hypothalamus. Not until we changed to avidin, biotin, and antibodies from a third supplier, we received an acceptable staining. Twenty-five percent of the RF animals had a pathological albumin leakage, while the ELF and RF + ELF groups with three and two pathological findings, respectively, were not significantly different from the control group. We conclude that the use of external fans has had no major influence upon the result.     

斯堪的纳维亚半岛地方性和区域性大气颗粒污染对健康影响的比较评价

正在实施的"欧洲清洁空气计划"(CAFE)是欧盟委员会(The EU Commission)的一个倡议,其目的是开展一项旨在改善欧盟空气质量的协调一致的行动.     

Polonium-210 and lead-210 in the terrestrial environment: a historical review

The radionuclides ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb widely present in the terrestrial environment are the final long-lived radionuclides in the decay of ²³⁸U in the earth’s crust. Their presence in the atmosphere is due to the decay of ²²²Rn diffusing from the ground. The range of activity concentrations in ground level air for ²¹⁰Po is 0.03-0.3 Bq m⁻³ and for ²¹⁰Pb 0.2-1.5 Bq m⁻³.In drinking water from private wells the activity concentration of ²¹⁰Po is in the order of 7-48 mBq l⁻¹ and for ²¹⁰Pb around 11-40 mBq l⁻¹. From water works, however, the activity concentration for both ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb is only in the order of 3 mBq l⁻¹.Mosses, lichens and peat have a high efficiency in capturing ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb from atmospheric fallout and exhibit an inventory of both ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb in the order of 0.5-5 kBq m⁻² in mosses and in lichens around 0.6 kBq m⁻². The activity concentrations in lichens lies around 250 Bq kg⁻¹, dry mass.Reindeer and caribou graze lichen which results in an activity concentration of ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb of about 1-15 Bq kg⁻¹ in meat from these animals. The food chain lichen-reindeer or caribou, and Man constitutes a unique model for studying the uptake and retention of ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb in humans. The effective annual dose due to ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb in people with high consumption of reindeer/caribou meat is estimated to be around 260 and 132 μSv a⁻¹ respectively.In soils, ²¹⁰Po is adsorbed to clay and organic colloids and the activity concentration varies with soil type and also correlates with the amount of atmospheric precipitation. The average activity concentration levels of ²¹⁰Po in various soils are in the range of 20-240 Bq kg⁻¹.Plants become contaminated with radioactive nuclides both by absorption from the soil (supported Po) and by deposition of radioactive fallout on the plants directly (unsupported Po). In fresh leafy plants the level of ²¹⁰Po is particularly high as the result of the direct deposition of ²²²Rn daughters from atmospheric deposition. Tobacco is a terrestrial product with high activity concentrations of ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb. The overall average activity concentration of ²¹⁰Po is 13 ± 2 Bq kg⁻¹. It is rather constant over time and by geographical origin.The average median daily dietary intakes of ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb for the adult world population was estimated to 160 mBq day⁻¹ and 110 mBq day⁻¹, corresponding to annual effective doses of 70 μSv a⁻¹ and 28 μSv a⁻¹, respectively. The dietary intakes of ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb from vegetarian food was estimated to only 70 mBq day⁻¹ and 40 mBq day⁻¹ corresponding to annual effective doses of 30.6 μSv a⁻¹ and 10 μSv a⁻¹, respectively. Since the activity concentration of ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb in seafood is significantly higher than in vegetarian food the effective dose to populations consuming a lot of seafood might be 5-15 fold higher.     

Justifying Sustainability

In the framework of ethical social choice theory, sustainability is justified by efficiency and equity as ethical axioms. These axioms correspond to the Suppes–Sen grading principle. In technologies that are productive in a certain sense, the set of Suppes–Sen maximal utility paths is shown to equal the set of non-decreasing and efficient paths. Since any such path is sustainable, efficiency and equity can thus be used to deem any unsustainable path as ethically unacceptable. This finding is contrasted with results that seem to indicate that an infinite number of generations cannot be treated equally.